OpenRAPM: bias by player type

Player typevs consensusvs 2026 observed
Rim-protecting centers
+orb -fg3_miss +blk -fg3m
+0.848-0.100
Wings who shoot threes
+fg3m +fg3_miss -drb -blk
-0.493-0.056
Guards who handle the ball
+ast -orb +tov -drb
-0.236+0.158
Ball-hawk defenders who rarely shoot
+stl -pts -ftm -fg3m
+0.826+0.036
Low-usage wings who stay out of the way
-ftm -tov -pts -ast
+0.273-0.006
Two-way big men who score
+ftm +blk +pts +drb
+0.247+0.338
Busy all-round forwards
+stl +drb +pf +orb
+0.060+0.022
High-usage scorers who draw fouls
+ftm +pts +tov +ast
+0.138+0.132

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vs 2026 observed. We fit a RAPM model against the residuals of OpenRAPM's predictions. These are the average results for each player type (possession-weighted).

vs consensus. The consensus is a GLS-weighted mean of DRIP, LEBRON, EPM, DARKO DPM, Time-Decay RAPM, and Time-Decay-Luck-Adjusted RAPM.